JustTheFacts Max
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Big Beautiful Bill
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JTFMax
“The ‘No Tax, No Cuts, All Cake’ Bill That Isn’t — Trump’s Reality-Optional Domestic Pitch”
In the age-old tradition of political showmanship, President Donald Trump has once again taken to the microphone to deliver a round of applause-worthy promises about his new domestic policy bill. Unfortunately for fans of facts, much of what he claimed during a Thursday White House address about Medicaid, Social Security, and taxes turns out to be… let’s just say, loosely tethered to reality.
Let’s start with Medicaid — the federal health safety net that covers more than 71 million Americans, including thousands in the Coachella Valley. Trump proudly proclaimed, “Your Medicaid is left alone. It’s left the same.” Except, of course, it isn’t. The House-passed version of the bill — which isn’t just a draft on a napkin — includes sweeping changes that could reduce Medicaid funding by roughly $800 billion over a decade. Translation: fewer people covered, tougher re-enrollment rules, and work requirements for adults without dependents. That’s not exactly “left the same.” Unless, of course, we’re redefining “same” as “dramatically different with fewer benefits.”
The President also made waves by boasting that the bill includes “no tax” on Social Security. Voters in places like Cathedral City and Palm Desert might want to hit pause here. What the bill actually offers is a temporary bump in the standard tax deduction for seniors — $4,000 under the House plan and $6,000 under the Senate version — but only through 2028 and only for those under a certain income threshold. That’s a nice nod, sure, but it's no elimination of Social Security taxes. The phrase “no tax” simply doesn’t hold up under scrutiny, even if the marketing department at Mar-a-Lago says otherwise.
And then there's the pièce de résistance: the president’s repeated claim that if Congress doesn’t pass this bill, Americans will be hit with a 68% tax hike. This number, much like a Vegas magic act, is a bit of sleight-of-hand. In reality, the nonpartisan Tax Policy Center estimates that taxes would rise an average of about 7.5% if the 2017 tax cuts expire. Yes, 64% of households might see some increase — but not a 64% increase in their bill. That’s like saying if 64% of people catch a cold, they’ve all got pneumonia.
So why does this matter to Coachella Valley residents? Because many here rely on Medicaid, Social Security, or both. If this bill passes as currently structured, they may see benefits curtailed, more hoops to jump through, and temporary tax relief that vanishes faster than a July ice cube in Indio. If the bill doesn’t pass? The promised Armageddon may be more of a mild budget hangover than a full-blown crisis.
One final note: The White House didn’t exactly rush to defend the President’s more creative interpretations. Instead, spokesperson Abigail Jackson assured everyone that the bill is “chock-full” of the things voters wanted. Of course, whether it’s full of what Trump promised is another matter entirely.
In politics, the devil is always in the legislative details — but hey, who needs details when you’ve got slogans, right?
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