Posted by - JustTheFacts Max -
on - June 16, 2022 -
Filed in - Business -
970 Views - 0 Comments - 0 Likes - 0 Reviews
JTFMax
Cash will be king in the 2023 recession.
With its recent move to raise interest rates, the Federal Reserve is preparing for a recession in the United States. But inflation remains stubbornly high and above 8.5 % percent is now the highest level in 40 years. This trend is expected to continue, with the two-year Treasury yield briefly surpassing the 10-year yield last week. A similar pattern precedes the start of each U.S. recession. Deutsche Bank is forecasting interest rates will reach 3.5 percent by the end of 2023.
It is hard to believe, but the U.S. economy will likely face a recession sometime in the next few years. This is the prediction of Jeffrey Gundlach, the founder and CEO of DoubleLine Capital. Gundlach believes that the U.S. will face a recession in 2023 and that the Federal Reserve may not be able to provide a "soft landing" to prevent this from happening. The Fed has never raised its key rate since 1994.
When considering a recession, it is essential to remember that not everyone will experience the same effect. That means that panic-selling investments won't be a good idea. In addition, panic-selling investments could cost you considerable market gains. Instead, focusing on building up a cash reserve is a better option for those who don't have a secure source of income. This money will be available to make emergency purchases and other necessary expenditures.
Interest rate hikes will choke off the economy.
The Federal Reserve will try to slow down the economy by raising interest rates, a decision that will only worsen the economy. The Fed has not raised interest rates in 21 years and has never risen above the nominal GDP growth rate. It expects the nominal GDP growth rate to be nine percent by year's end. Today, the Fed's key interest rate is 0.1 percent, nearly eight percent below the run rate of the economy. That means that 35 quarter-point hikes from the current rate will still not get the economy back to where it needs to be.
In recent weeks, the global stock markets have been volatile, with equities diving, interest rate hikes and increased economic uncertainty. Despite this, companies such as Uber and Kraft Heinz have started transferring money from their home equity lines to their checking accounts, and their CEO is encouraging their employees to focus on cash flow as well. After all, cash is king, and if investors can't spend it, they can't keep the economy going.
Saving up now will be vital to surviving.
Many big banks, prominent economists, and former government officials predict that the United States will experience a recession in the next few years. While the Federal Reserve struggles to reign in inflation, three-quarters of Fortune 500 chief executives predict negative growth before 2023. Meanwhile, Google searches for "recession" are up sharply. A mild recession in 2023 could mean the end of Joe Biden's presidency and the election of Donald Trump.
While no one can predict a recession, preparing for the worst possible situation can ease the stress that comes with this downturn. Saving up for emergency expenses can be accomplished by limiting monthly costs. Among these, debt payments can become the most significant monthly expense. In addition, experts note that high-interest debt payments are among the highest monthly fees. With the Federal Reserve raising key borrowing benchmarks seven times this year, it is crucial to have extra money set aside for these emergencies.
Elon Musk warns against relying on debt to get through a recession
Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla, recently tweeted that a recession is "probably" coming. A recent Bloomberg survey of economists put the odds of a recession at 30 percent. Elon Musk's tweet suggests that a recession will be a good thing. He says that the current downturn will rid the economy of unnecessary companies. So what does this mean for the consumer?
We're already at the top of the pile with our debts, which are $30 trillion in the U.S. alone. This doesn't consider our unfunded entitlements, which could be $60 trillion to $123 trillion.
Despite the gloomy economic forecast, Musk's warning is a good reminder to consumers of the dangers of relying on debt to make it through a recession. But, of course, as a billionaire, he's also the world's most powerful man. So another question is whether his view on the debt will affect Tesla's price targets. But the CEO of Twitter recently clashed with Musk over fake accounts, so we can't be too sure how the future holds for the company.
Preparation for a recession
Preparing your cash reserves is the best way to prepare for this. The Great Recession, "The collapse of the housing market," began in 2007 and was not over until the end of 2009, but its lasting effects are still being felt. The next recession could be around the corner with the aging population and supply chain issues.
Investing in skills, such as building a resume, is an excellent way to prepare financially for a recession. Higher salaries can help you secure your retirement and supplement your savings. You should also look for new employment opportunities. Preparation for a downturn is vital if you want to survive this period. But it will be difficult to escape the effects of a recession. So, ensure you are financially prepared before the storm clouds roll in.
Share this page with your family and friends.